Downscaled Climate Change Forecasting and Maryland's Forests

dc.contributor.advisorMcIntosh, Marla Sen_US
dc.contributor.authorJuchs, Stephanieen_US
dc.contributor.departmentMarine-Estuarine-Environmental Sciencesen_US
dc.contributor.publisherDigital Repository at the University of Marylanden_US
dc.contributor.publisherUniversity of Maryland (College Park, Md.)en_US
dc.date.accessioned2011-10-08T06:48:32Z
dc.date.available2011-10-08T06:48:32Z
dc.date.issued2011en_US
dc.description.abstractEffective planning and management of forests in a changing climate requires valid and robust predictions of future climate change that are context-specific since climate changes vary by region. Climate models are often used to predict future trends in temperature and precipitation at the global level, but are most useful if downscaled to predict change at regional levels. Monthly temperature and precipitation were predicted using three downscaled regional climate models for the 1990s and the 2050s. Comparison of the 1990's predictions to weather station data from across Maryland indicated inherent model biases affecting accurate predictions, which were used to adjust the model-projected climate variables for the 2050s. The projected daily temperatures were also used to calculate projected growing degree days and frost days. The degree of climate change in Maryland projected by these regional models for the next half-century would have profound impacts on forests across Maryland.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1903/12116
dc.subject.pqcontrolledEnvironmental studiesen_US
dc.subject.pquncontrolledclimate changeen_US
dc.subject.pquncontrolleddownscaleden_US
dc.subject.pquncontrolledMarylanden_US
dc.subject.pquncontrolledmodelen_US
dc.titleDownscaled Climate Change Forecasting and Maryland's Forestsen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US

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