A Nuclear Solution to Climate Change?
Sailor, William C.
van der Zwaan, Bob
William C. Sailor, David Bodansky, Chaim Braun, Steve Fetter and Bob van der Zwaan, "A Nuclear Solution to Climate Change?" Science, Vol. 288 (19 May 2000), pp. 1177-1178
MetadataShow full item record
The U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change calls for the stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations at a level that would prevent dangerous changes in climate. An ambitious target would be stabilization at an equivalent doubling of the preindustrial CO2 concentration. To achieve this, fossil-fuel carbon emissions in 2050 should not exceed their current level, despite an expected doubling or tripling in world demand for energy. Lacking a crystal ball that tells us the future, we simply select one possible scenario that achieves the emissions target. We assume that by 2050, world population and average per-capita energy consumption each rise by 50%, with annual world primary energy consumption reaching 900 EJ (exajoules, 1018 joules). A roughly equal contribution of 300 EJ each is assumed for conventional fossil fuels, for renewable and "decarbonized" fossil fuel sources, and for nuclear fission. This is a challenging scenario, especially because restraining the increase in average per-capita energy consumption in the face of the economic aspirations of developing countries will require substantial improvements in energy efficiency.
RightsThis is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of the AAAS for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in SCIENCE, 288, (19 May 2000), doi:10.1126/science.288.5469.1177 - http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.288.5469.1177. (Broken Link)
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Publics around the World Favor International Agreement To Eliminate All Nuclear Weapons: Nuclear as Well as Non-Nuclear Countries Support Plan For Abolishing Nuclear Weapons Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA) (2008-12-09)A WorldPublicOpinion.org poll of 21 nations from around the world finds that people in every country favor an international agreement for eliminating all nuclear weapons. Respondents were asked to consider an agreement ...
Elliott, Diana Beth (2008-08-29)Although the American ideology of the family has a nuclear ideal, research suggests that American families rely upon extended family support to raise children. This study explores how transfers of money, time, and space ...
Iranians Oppose Producing Nuclear Weapons, Saying It Is Contrary to Islam: But Most Insist on Iran Producing Nuclear Fuel Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA) (2008-04-07)New WorldPublicOpinion.org polls finds that although Iranians continue to view the United States negatively, they strongly support steps to improve US-Iran relations including direct talks on issues of mutual concern, ...