College of Behavioral & Social Sciences

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Author: search.filters.author.Tyukavina, Alexandra

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    Contextualizing Landscape-Scale Forest Cover Loss in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) between 2000 and 2015
    (MDPI, 2020-01-16) Molinario, Giuseppe; Hansen, Matthew; Potapov, Peter; Tyukavina, Alexandra; Stehman, Stephen
    Shifting cultivation has been shown to be the primary cause of land use change in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Traditionally, forested and fallow land are rotated in a slash and burn cycle that has created an agricultural mosaic, including secondary forest, known as the rural complex. This study investigates the land use context of new forest clearing (during 2000–2015) in primary forest areas outside of the established rural complex. These new forest clearings occur as either rural complex expansion (RCE) or isolated forest perforations (IFP), with consequent implications on the forest ecosystem and biodiversity habitat. During 2000–2015, subsistence agriculture was the dominant driver of forest clearing for both extension of settled areas and pioneer clearings removed from settled areas. Less than 1% of clearing was directly attributable to land uses such as mining, plantations, and logging, showing that the impact of commercial operations in the DRC is currently dwarfed by a reliance on small-holder shifting cultivation. However, analyzing the landscape context showed that large-scale agroindustry and resource extraction activities lead to increased forest loss and degradation beyond their previously-understood footprints. The worker populations drawn to these areas create communities that rely on shifting cultivation and non-timber forest products (NTFP) for food, energy, and building materials. An estimated 12% of forest loss within the RCE and 9% of the area of IFP was found to be within 5 km of mines, logging, or plantations. Given increasing demographic and commercial pressures on DRC’s forests, it will be crucial to factor in this landscape-level land use change dynamic in land use planning and sustainability-focused governance.
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    Landsat Analysis Ready Data for Global Land Cover and Land Cover Change Mapping
    (MDPI, 2020-01-29) Potapov, Peter; Hansen, Matthew C.; Kommareddy, Indrani; Kommareddy, Anil; Turubanova, Svetlana; Pickens, Amy; Adusei, Bernard; Tyukavina, Alexandra; Ying, Qing
    The multi-decadal Landsat data record is a unique tool for global land cover and land use change analysis. However, the large volume of the Landsat image archive and inconsistent coverage of clear-sky observations hamper land cover monitoring at large geographic extent. Here, we present a consistently processed and temporally aggregated Landsat Analysis Ready Data produced by the Global Land Analysis and Discovery team at the University of Maryland (GLAD ARD) suitable for national to global empirical land cover mapping and change detection. The GLAD ARD represent a 16-day time-series of tiled Landsat normalized surface reflectance from 1997 to present, updated annually, and designed for land cover monitoring at global to local scales. A set of tools for multi-temporal data processing and characterization using machine learning provided with GLAD ARD serves as an end-to-end solution for Landsat-based natural resource assessment and monitoring. The GLAD ARD data and tools have been implemented at the national, regional, and global extent for water, forest, and crop mapping. The GLAD ARD data and tools are available at the GLAD website for free access.
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    Using Multi-Resolution Satellite Data to Quantify Land Dynamics: Applications of PlanetScope Imagery for Cropland and Tree-Cover Loss Area Estimation
    (MDPI, 2021-06-04) Pickering, Jeffrey; Tyukavina, Alexandra; Khan, Ahmad; Potapov, Peter; Adusei, Bernard; Hansen, Matthew C.; Lima, André
    The Planet constellation of satellites represents a significant advance in the availability of high cadence, high spatial resolution imagery. When coupled with a targeted sampling strategy, these advances enhance land-cover and land-use monitoring capabilities. Here we present example regional and national-scale area-estimation methods as a demonstration of the integrated and efficient use of mapping and sampling using public medium-resolution (Landsat) and commercial high resolution (PlanetScope) imagery. Our proposed method is agnostic to the geographic region and type of land cover and change, which is demonstrated by applying the method across two very different geographies and thematic classes. Wheat extent is estimated in Punjab, Pakistan, for the 2018/2019 growing season, and tree-cover loss area is estimated over Peru for 2017 and 2018. We used a time series of PlanetScope imagery to classify a sample of 5 × 5 km blocks for each region and produce area estimates of 55,947 km2 (±9.0%) of wheat in Punjab and 5398 km2 (±9.1%) of tree-cover loss in Peru. We also demonstrate the use of regression estimation utilizing population information from Landsat-based maps to reduce standard errors of the sample-based estimates. Resulting regression estimates have SEs of 3.6% and 5.1% for Pakistan and Peru, respectively. The combination of daily global coverage and high spatial resolution of Planet imagery improves our ability to monitor crop phenology and capture ephemeral tree-cover loss and degradation dynamics, while Landsat-based maps provide wall-to-wall information to target the sample and increase precision of the estimates through the use of regression estimation.
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    Sample-Based Estimation of Tree Cover Change in Haiti Using Aerial Photography: Substantial Increase in Tree Cover between 2002 and 2010
    (MDPI, 2021-09-14) Rodrigues-Eklund, Gabriela; Hansen, Matthew C.; Tyukavina, Alexandra; Stehman, Stephen V.; Hubacek, Klaus; Baiocchi, Giovanni
    Recent studies have used high resolution imagery to estimate tree cover and changes in natural forest cover in Haiti. However, there is still no rigorous quantification of tree cover change accounting for planted or managed trees, which are very important in Haiti’s farming systems. We estimated net tree cover change, gross loss, and gross gain in Haiti between 2002 and 2010 from a stratified random sample of 400 pixels with a systematic sub-sample of 25 points. Using 30 cm and 1 m resolution images, we classified land cover at each point, with any point touching a woody plant higher than 5 m classified as tree crown. We found a net increase in tree crown cover equivalent to 5.0 ± 2.3% (95% confidence interval) of Haiti’s land area. Gross gains and losses amounted to 9.0 ± 2.1% and 4.0 ± 1.3% of the territory, respectively. These results challenge, for the first time with empirical evidence, the predominant narrative that portrays Haiti as experiencing ongoing forest or tree cover loss. The net gain in tree cover quantified here represents a 35% increase from 2002 to 2010. Further research is needed to determine the drivers of this substantial net gain in tree cover at the national scale.
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    Characterizing forest disturbance dynamics in the humid tropics using optical and LIDAR remotely sensed data sets
    (2015) Tyukavina, Alexandra; Hansen, Matthew C; Geography; Digital Repository at the University of Maryland; University of Maryland (College Park, Md.)
    Human-induced tropical deforestation and forest degradation are widely recognized as major environmental threats, negatively affecting tropical forest ecosystem services, such as biodiversity and climate regulation. To mitigate the effects of forest disturbance, particularly carbon emissions, national forest monitoring systems are being established throughout the tropics. Multiple good practice guidelines aimed at developing accurate, compatible and cost-effective monitoring systems have been issued by IPCC, UNFCCC, GFOI and other organizations. However, there is a lack of consensus in characterization of the baseline state of the forests and carbon stocks. This dissertation is focused on the improvement of the current methods of remotely-sensed forest area and carbon loss estimation. A sample-based estimation method employing Landsat-based forest type and change maps and GLAS Lidar-modeled carbon data was first prototyped for the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), and then applied for the entire pan-tropical region. The DRC study found that Landsat-scale (30m) map-based forest loss assessments unadjusted for errors may lead to significant underestimation of forest aboveground carbon (AGC) loss in the environments with small-scale land cover change dynamics. This conclusion was supported by the pan-tropical study, which revealed that Landsat-based mapping omitted almost half (44%) of forest loss in Africa compared to the sample-based estimate (sample-based estimate exceeded map-based by 78%). Landsat performed well in Latin America and Southeast Asia (sample-based estimate exceeded map-based by 15% and 6% respectively), where forest dynamics are dominated by large-scale industrial forest clearings. The pan-tropical validation sample also allowed disaggregating forest cover and AGC loss by occurrence in natural- (primary and mature secondary forests, and natural woodlands) or human-managed (tree plantations, agroforestry systems, areas of subsistence agriculture with rapid tree cover rotation) forests. Pan-tropically, 58% of AGC loss came from natural forests, with proportion of natural AGC loss being the highest in Brazil (72%) and the lowest in the humid tropical Africa outside of the DRC (22%). The pan-tropical study employed a novel forest stratification for carbon estimation based on forest structural characteristics (canopy cover and height) and intactness, which aided in reducing standard errors of the sample-based estimate (SE of 4% for the pan-tropical gross forest loss area estimate). Such a stratification also allowed for the quantification of forest degradation by delineating intact and non-intact forest areas with different carbon content. This indirect approach to quantify forest degradation was advanced in the last research chapter by automating the process of intact (hinterland) forest mapping. Hinterland forests are defined as forest patches absent of and removed from disturbance in near-term history. Their utility in using spatial context to map structurally different (degraded and non-degraded) forests points a way forward for improved stratification of forest carbon stocks. Conclusions from the dissertation summarize strengths and challenges of sample-based area estimation in monitoring forest carbon stocks and the possible use of such estimates in the revision of spatially explicit maps by adjusting them to match the unbiased sample-based estimates. Hinterland forest maps, in addition to providing a valuable stratum for sample-based carbon monitoring, may serve as a baseline for the near real-time monitoring of remaining ecologically intact tropical forests.