Disturbance Distance: quantifying forests’ vulnerability to disturbance under current and future conditions

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dc.contributor.authorDolan, Katelyn A
dc.contributor.authorHurtt, George C
dc.contributor.authorFlanagan, Steve A
dc.contributor.authorFisk, Justin P
dc.contributor.authorSahajpal, Ritvik
dc.contributor.authorHuang, Chengquan
dc.contributor.authorPage, Yannik Le
dc.contributor.authorDubayah, Ralph
dc.contributor.authorMasek, Jeffrey G
dc.date.accessioned2018-06-29T15:01:32Z
dc.date.available2018-06-29T15:01:32Z
dc.date.issued2017-11-02
dc.descriptionPartial funding for Open Access provided by the UMD Libraries' Open Access Publishing Fund.en_US
dc.description.abstractDisturbances, both natural and anthropogenic, are critical determinants of forest structure, function, and distribution. The vulnerability of forests to potential changes in disturbance rates remains largely unknown. Here, we developed a framework for quantifying and mapping the vulnerability of forests to changes in disturbance rates. By comparing recent estimates of observed forest disturbance rates over a sample of contiguous US forests to modeled rates of disturbance resulting in forest loss, a novel index of vulnerability, Disturbance Distance, was produced. Sample results indicate that 20% of current US forestland could be lost if disturbance rates were to double, with southwestern forests showing highest vulnerability. Under a future climate scenario, the majority of US forests showed capabilities of withstanding higher rates of disturbance then under the current climate scenario, which may buffer some impacts of intensified forest disturbance.en_US
dc.identifierhttps://doi.org/10.13016/M2FJ29G7B
dc.identifier.citationKatelyn A Dolan et al 2017 Environ. Res. Lett. 12 114015; https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa8ea9en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1903/20688
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherIOP Publishingen_US
dc.relation.isAvailableAtCollege of Behavioral & Social Sciencesen_us
dc.relation.isAvailableAtGeographyen_us
dc.relation.isAvailableAtDigital Repository at the University of Marylanden_us
dc.relation.isAvailableAtUniversity of Maryland (College Park, MD)en_us
dc.titleDisturbance Distance: quantifying forests’ vulnerability to disturbance under current and future conditionsen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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