College of Behavioral & Social Sciences
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The collections in this community comprise faculty research works, as well as graduate theses and dissertations..
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Item Essays on Firm Dynamics and Macroeconomics(2023) Kim, Seula; Haltiwanger, John; Shea, John; Economics; Digital Repository at the University of Maryland; University of Maryland (College Park, Md.)This dissertation describes a broad set of topics in firm dynamics and macroeconomics, including young firm dynamics, business dynamism, firm innovation, technological advance, and economic growth in the U.S. economy. In Chapter 1, I study how workers’ uncertain job prospects affect young firms’ pay and employment growth, and quantify macroeconomic implications. Building a heterogeneous-firm directed search model in which workers gradually learn about permanent firm productivity types, I find that the learning process creates endogenous wage differentials for young firms. In the model, a high performing young firm must pay a higher wage than that of high performing old firms, while a low performing young firm offers a lower wage than that of low performing old firms, to attract workers. This is because workers are unsure whether the young firm’s performance reflects its fundamental type or a temporary shock given the lack of track records. I find that these wage differentials affect both hiring and retention margins of young firms and can dampen the growth of high-potential young firms. Furthermore, the model indicates that higher uncertainty about young firms results in bigger wage differentials and thus hampers overall young firm activity and aggregate productivity. Using employee-employer linked data from the U.S. Census Bureau and regression specifications guided by the model, I provide empirical support for the novel predictions of the model. Chapter 2 studies the effect of competition on firm innovation by developing a discrete-time endogenous growth model where multi-product firms do two types of innovation subject to friction in technology spillovers. Firms improve their existing products through internal innovation while entering others’ product markets through external innovation. We introduce a novel friction, which we label as imperfect technology spillovers, which refer to frictions in learning others’ technology in the process of external innovation. In contrast to existing models, this friction allows incumbent firms to defend themselves from competitors by building technological barriers through internal innovation. Using firm-level data from the U.S. Census Bureau integrated with firm-level patent data, we find regression results consistent with the model predictions. Our counterfactual analysis shows that rising competition by foreign firms leads domestic incumbent firms to undertake (i) more (less) internal innovation for the products in which they have (do not have) a technological advantage, and (ii) less external innovation. This compositional change in firm innovation affects overall innovation in the aggregate economy in different directions depending on the costs of external innovation. Specifically, the shift in innovation composition in response to rising competition decreases overall innovation in the U.S., but would increase overall innovation in an economy with high external innovation costs. Lastly, Chapter 3 examines how increasing knowledge complexity and the accompanying rise in innovation cost affect firm innovation patterns and business dynamism in the U.S. economy. Using detailed firm-level data from S&P’s Compustat and the U.S. Census Bureau, integrated with the U.S. patent database (USPTO PatentViews), we document the increasing trend in knowledge complexity in firm innovation activities. Specifically, the inventor team size, the number of technology types (technology subclasses), and the degree of interdependence across different technology subclasses associated with firms’ patent portfolio have been increasing over time. Furthermore, we find the increasing trend of knowledge complexity is associated with the declining trend of business dynamism, such as firm entry, the share of young firms, and young firms’ activity in job creation and reallocation. We offer a simple endogenous growth model in which different R&D inputs are interdependent (complementary) to each other and firms are required to use different types of inputs to generate a given amount of innovation. This increases more complexity in firm innovation process and makes small, young firms with less knowledge base more difficult to conduct innovation as before. This can impede firm entry and dampen the growth of small and young firms.Item The New Bottom Line: Black Women Cultural Entrepreneurs Re-Define Success in The Connected Economy(2016) Buford, Kathryn Buford; Hill Collins, Patricia; Sociology; Digital Repository at the University of Maryland; University of Maryland (College Park, Md.)Black women cultural entrepreneurs are a group of entrepreneurs that merit further inquiry. Using qualitative interview and participant observation data, this dissertation investigates the ways in which black women cultural entrepreneurs define success. My findings reveal that black women cultural entrepreneurs are a particular interpretive community with values, perspectives and experiences, which are not wholly idiosyncratic, but shaped by collective experiences and larger social forces. Black women are not a monolith, but they are neither disconnected individuals completely devoid of group identity. The meaning they give to their businesses, professional experiences and understandings of success are influenced by their shared social position and identity as black women. For black women cultural entrepreneurs, the New Bottom Line goes beyond financial gain. This group, while not uniform in their understandings of success, largely understand the most meaningful accomplishments they can realize as social impact in the form of cultural intervention, black community uplift and professional/creative agency. These particular considerations represent a new paramount concern, and alternative understanding of what is typically understood as the bottom line. The structural, social and personal challenges that black women cultural entrepreneurs encounter have shaped their particular perspectives on success. I also explore the ways research participants articulated an oppositional consciousness to create an alternative means of defining and achieving success. I argue that this consciousness empowers them with resources, connections and meaning not readily conferred in traditional entrepreneurial settings. In this sense, the personal, social and structural challenges have been foundational to the formation of an alternative economy, which I refer to as The Connected Economy. Leading and participating in The Connected Economy, black women cultural entrepreneurs represent a black feminist and womanist critique of dominant understandings of success.Item Essays on Firm Dynamics and Macroeconomics(2015) Decker, Ryan Allen; Haltiwanger, John C; Economics; Digital Repository at the University of Maryland; University of Maryland (College Park, Md.)I describe two studies in firm dynamics and macroeconomics. Chapter 1 reports on the large decline in entrepreneurial activity that preceded and accompanied the Great Recession and proposes a model relating this decline to the housing collapse. The collapse in entrepreneurial activity coincided with a historic decline in home values that preceded the onset of the broad recession by at least nine months. I describe a heterogeneous agent general equilibrium model with both housing and entrepreneurship. The model is characterized by financial frictions that affect both credit supply and credit demand. I consider the consequences of a “housing crisis” as compared to a “financial crisis.” The model produces a negative response of entrepreneurship to a housing crisis via a housing collateral channel; this mechanism can account for at least a quarter of the empirical decline in entrepreneurs’ share of activity. A financial crisis (which works through credit supply) has more nuanced effects, causing economic disruption that entices new low-productivity entrepreneurs into production. Chapter 2 describes a theory of endogenous firm-level risk over the business cycle based on endogenous firm market exposure. Firms that reach a larger number of markets diversify market-specific demand shocks at a cost. The model is driven only by total factor productivity shocks and captures the observed countercyclicality of firm-level risk. Consistent with the model, data from Compustat and the Longitudinal Business Database show that market reach is procyclical and that the countercyclicality of firm-level risk is driven mostly by those firms that adjust their market reach. This finding is explained by a negative elasticity between firm-level volatility and various measures of market exposure.