Mechanical Engineering

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    Dynamic Bayesian Network Data Updating Approaches for Enabling Causal Prognostics and Health Management of Complex Engineering Systems
    (2022) Lewis, Austin Drisko; Groth, Katrina M; Reliability Engineering; Digital Repository at the University of Maryland; University of Maryland (College Park, Md.)
    Complex engineering systems (CESes), such as nuclear power plants or manufacturing plants, are critical to a wide range of industries and utilities; as such, it is important to be able to monitor their system health and make informed decisions on maintenance and risk management practices. However, currently available system-level monitoring approaches either ignore complex dependencies in their probabilistic risk assessments (PRA) or are prognostics and health management (PHM) techniques intended for simpler systems. The gap in CES health management needs to be closed through the development of techniques and models built from a systematic integration of PHM and PRA (SIPPRA) approach that considers a system's causal factors and operational context when generating health assessments. The following dissertation describes a concentrated study that addresses one of the challenges facing SIPPRA: how to appropriately discretize a CES's operational timeline derived from multiple data streams to create discrete time-series data for use as model inputs over meaningful time periods. This research studies how different time scales and discretization approaches impact the performance of dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs), models that are increasingly used for causal-based inferences and system-level assessments, specifically built for SIPPRA health management. The impact of this research offers new insight into how to construct such DBNs to better support system-level health management for CESes.
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    Conference Proceedings Report: ASME-SERAD and UMD-CRR Interactive seminar & pre-workshop on the intersection of PRA and PHM
    (2020-10) Groth, Katrina; Pourgol-Mohammad, Mohammad; Modarres, Mohammad
    This event is the first in a two-part series exploring the intersection of PRA and PHM in the context of complex engineering systems. Initially the workshop was planned as a fully in-person workshop to be held in April, 2020, but as with many events in 2020, it was postponed due to the travel restrictions resulting from COVID-19 pandemic. The organizers recognized that the online format isn't amenable to the deep discussions which were intended to be at the heart of the in person workshop, but we decided to try an experiment: to see if we could make a “pre-workshop” as interactive possible in an era of webinar fatigue. Thus the workshop was reimagined as an online, interactive pre-workshop in 2020, to be followed with the in person, discussion-heavy workshop to be held when we are able to travel again in 2021.